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North Carolina vs. Virginia ACC tournament odds, tips and betting trends

Tune in to watch the No. 2-seeded Virginia Cavaliers (23-6, 15-5 ACC) take on the No. 7-seeded North Carolina Tar Heels (20-5) in Thursday’s ACC tournament at the Greensboro Coliseum. 12, 11-9 ACC), beginning at 7:00 p.m. on ESPN Networks.

The Cavaliers take on the Tar Heels in what is expected to be a close match. The Cavaliers are favored over the Tar Heels by just 2 points. The matchup has an over/under of 129.5.

Virginia’s record against the spread so far this season is 11-17-1, while North Carolina’s is 11-21-0. In terms of rollover, games with the Cavaliers are 15-14-0 and the Tar Heels are 14-18-0. The two teams average 144.9 points per game, 15.4 points more than in this duel in total. Virginia is 3-6-1 against the spread and 7-3 overall in the last 10 games, while North Carolina is 4-6 against the spread and 5-5 overall.

To prepare for that college basketball match, here’s what you need to get ready for Thursday’s action.

Odds, spreads and lines from North Carolina to Virginia

Odds provided by Tipico sports betting; Access USA TODAY hub for sports scores and sports betting odds for a complete list.

  • spread: Virginia -2
  • In total: 129.5
  • money line: Virginia -130, North Carolina +110

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Virginia vs. North Carolina Prediction

North Carolina 70, Virginia 69

money line

  • Virginia is 18-3 in games when listed as the moneyline favorite (85.7% win).
  • The Cavaliers are 18-3 (win 85.7% of their games) when playing -130 or less as the moneyline favorite.
  • The moneyline implied probability for this matchup gives Virginia a 56.5% chance of winning.
  • North Carolina has been the underdog in six games this season, failing to win any of those contests.
  • The Tar Heels have not won in four such games this season as an underdog with +110 or more on the money line.
  • North Carolina’s implied probability of winning based on the moneyline is 47.6%.

against the spread

  • Virginia has an 11-17-1 record against the spread this season.
  • North Carolina has an 11-21-0 record against the spread this season.
  • The Cavaliers are just 2.8 fewer points per game (68.2) than the Tar Heels allow (71.0).
  • Virginia is 6-4 against the spread and 10-0 overall if he scores more than 71.0 points.
  • North Carolina has a 7-9 record against the spread and a 12-4 record overall when conceding fewer than 68.2 points.
  • The Tar Heels’ 76.7 points per game is 16.2 points higher than the 60.5 the Cavaliers concede to opponents.
  • North Carolina has a 10-18 ATS record and a 19-9 overall record in games in which it scores more than 60.5 points.
  • Virginia has an ATS record of 10-17-1 and a 22-6 record overall when their opponents score less than 76.7 points.

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over under

  • The Cavaliers’ average implied point total this season is 3.3 points more than their implied point total in Thursday’s game (69.3 implied points on average versus 66 implied points in this game).
  • So far this season, Virginia has surpassed their implied score for this matchup (66) 17 times.
  • The average in-season implied total of 78.5 points for the Tar Heels is 14.5 points more than the team’s implied total of 64 points in this matchup.
  • So far this season, North Carolina has surpassed 64 points in a game 28 times.

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